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In the shadow of prosperity

As will soon be apparent, I have a new found interest in The Economist.  It started a few weeks back when I posted excerpts from an article on marketing and Post modernism.  Now we turn our attention to what might be called the "inefficient casualties" of globalization:  Work

NESTLED among the wooded Blue Ridge mountains in Virginia's far south-west, Galax is a town of bluegrass music, barbecue and hardscrabble living. It is home to an annual fiddlers' convention and, less happily, a huddle of textile and furniture factories. Over the past few years, globalization has hit hard.

Unable to compete with Mexican and then Chinese competition, the town's old industries have withered, taking thousands of jobs with them. Last year brought the biggest single blow. Three big factories closed their doors within months. More than 1,000 people, around one-sixth of the town's workforce, lost their jobs.

For some, particularly those in their 50s, the future looks bleak. At 59, Paul Rotan sees little chance of finding another job with health insurance, but he is still six years away from qualifying for Medicare, the government health plan for the old. He is terrified of what will happen in June when the temporary public subsidies for his health insurance end...

In the neat world of economics text-books the downside of globalization looks much like Galax. Low-skilled workers in a rich country, such as America, suffer when trade expands with a poorer country with plenty of much cheaper low-skilled workers, such as China.

If labor markets are efficient in the rich country the displaced workers should find new jobs, but their wages will probably fall. Although the country overall gains handsomely, these people are often worse off. Hence the case for redistributing some of trade's gains and compensating the low-skilled losers. Traditionally, trade-displaced workers have also tended to be older and less educated than typical workers, and to have worked in only one industry. They take longer than average to find another job and, when they find one, are more likely to see their wages fall.

There is nothing surprising or innovative in this account.  Unfortunately it has become the norm across the most "developed" and technologically advanced economies.  To its credit, The Economist spends a good deal of space discussing the effectiveness of various government programs designed to help subsidize and train displaced workers. But ultimately they must stick to their over riding faith in free market fundamentalism:

As public fears of globalization rise, so will the political appeal of these schemes. But they will have less impact than getting other, more basic, policies right. Globalization underscores the need for a flexible, dynamic labour market and a well-educated, adaptable workforce. And a worker whose health care is not tied to his job will be less worried about trade than one for whom job loss also spells the loss of medical insurance. The tasks of freeing up labour markets (in Europe), reforming health care (in America) and improving education (everywhere) are far more important than any amount of experimentation with wage insurance or retraining schemes. If politicians really want to respond to the worries caused by globalization, those are still the best places to start.

As an American I would applaud any effort to provide universal health insurance that was not tied to one's employment.  But the bottom line is still the same: we cannot try to interfere with the mechanisms of the market for fear of destroying its natural efficiencies.  It is the individual worker (and individual countries) that must adapt to its rigorous demands, no matter how difficult it may be for real human beings to adjust.  And of course this completely ignores the terrible costs globalization imposes on those who are finding new employment - the supposed "winners" in places like China and India.  I find it both infuriating and absurd that we are expected to celebrate our subordination to this inhuman system, and call it freedom.  I am not smart enough to know what the alternative will look like or what will make it happen - but I have to think that "another world is still possible."

By Alain | February 12, 2007 in Current Affairs, Economics, Neoliberalism | Permalink

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Comments

Efficiency: that's the hard part. I too am disappointed by this dynamic. The problem is that aside from stabilizing welfare schemes like health care, it's still really hard to articulate the design of alternative systems that don't fall prey to the unintended consequences decried by neoliberals.

Posted by: Mandos | Feb 13, 2007 2:31:37 AM

For a long time I have tried to get Brad DeLong to say why we shouldn't see wages in a global race to the bottom.

Neoliberals will always point to a third-world worker who's better off for every first-world worker who's worse off. Perhaps an American worker goes from (say) $30,000 a year to $15,000 (on a different job), while the Chinese goes from (say) $5,000 a year to $10,000. The outsourcer gains $20,000, some of which the consumer benefits from, the Chinese is better off, and the American is still better off than the Chinese. The basic message is that the American was overpaid to begin with, and everyone else is better off.

Of course, the American pays American prices and lives in American society, and this will ultimately amount to importing third-world wages and conditions into the US.

I find it hard to get even Democratic economists to admit that even though the mean and the average American is better off with free trade (I think that that's true), that a significant group of Americans is worse off. There's an enormous lack of curiosity as to how big this group is and how much they've lost. Not something everyone wants to know.

Posted by: John Emerson | Feb 13, 2007 8:30:51 AM


One problem may be the de-politicized (and pro corporate capitalist) nature of the Economics curriculum itself. Include Hobbes' Leviathan in the readings for Econ. 101, as well as Marxi Marx, Veblen etc. And force it on Execs. as well. Or instead just rob the Gentry out at their mollie malls.

Posted by: 01001010 | Feb 13, 2007 9:40:02 AM

The free market is by nature Utilitarian. Markets will always exhibit local inefficiencies but are globally efficient.

Various forms of legitimate socialisms aim for negative utilitarianism (the prevention of the greatest amount of harm for the greatest number). The execution of these socialisms, though, severely constrain the positive utilitarian potential of the free market, both globally and locally.

All systems are subject to market laws, which are descriptive laws rather than prescriptive ones. These laws become prescriptive when they gain the mythic qualities of equations and classrooms, where they exist as global descriptions rather than aggregations of local ones. This prescriptivism we can call 'capitalism.'

The failing of the market is twofold:
the lack of a negative utilitarian thrust in the less-fettered capitalist societies (remedied, or at least diminished, in the social democracies of Europe) and the constraints on positive utilitarianism in more restrictive economies. We've seen a great motion toward 'capitalism' over the last few centuries because the local inefficiencies are less common than the local efficiencies - hence the overall global efficiency of the marketplace. Those with access to efficiency have some degree of upward mobility if and only if they are capable of rising above their peers. Though those abilities are rare, the opportunities are present to the vast majority. The system is not 'fair' on a micro scale but the restrictive economies that tend toward socialism delete these abilities to rise above the rest, denying the one essential underpinning of any non-revolutionary society - hope.

Posted by: David McDougall | Feb 13, 2007 12:11:07 PM

Those with access to efficiency have some degree of upward mobility if and only if they are capable of rising above their peers

In other words, when Larry Ellison or Jerry Buss roll into Vega$$, they have a far greater chance of winning, than does, say, a member of the LongSunday posse. Serio, you watch an hour or so of some $50.00 dollar table blackjack and you note the guys who bought in big, stay big. That's finance cap., to a large extent--all about leverage. Ellison's funds may not be on the felt, but they are being used to speculate in money markets: it's an endless Win-Win situation. So the question being do you sit and watch the corporate Macqueroos rake it in, or jack them as they get in their limo with their ho's.

Posted by: 10100101 | Feb 13, 2007 1:28:29 PM

""""Markets will always exhibit local inefficiencies but are globally efficient."""""

Efficient for whom? The market does efficiently generate a great amount of wealth for management and investors; and it very efficiently keeps it out of the hands of many other "sectors". The IT barons, financiers and their engineer-goons got the Benz set at 80 when passing through South San Jose, Oaktown, Mission district, etc. etc.....on the way home to wifey-bot at the chateau....

Posted by: 01001010 | Feb 19, 2007 1:11:34 PM

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